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Nostalgia - Nov 1, 2000 & 2004 poll map

This is too much fun!  This link will take you to an interactive map of battleground states poll results:
 
 It does my heart good to look at the poll predictions from 2004 in particular, and remember the confidance of the Kerry campaign - right up until the concession speech!
Have courage and fight!  Two days to go!
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Say it Ain't So, Susan! Not the Race Card from You, Too?

   Susan Estrich's column, "The Final Days", released today, is a huge disappointment, even and especially from her.  Normally, I prefer Susan Estrich as a Democrat pundit, over, say, Bob Beckel, if push comes to shove.  I hate to recommend that you read this column, but in the interest of understanding where the Democrats are going "just in case" they lose this election, I'm doing just that.  Can she really believe that an Obama loss on Tuesday can ONLY be explained by one thing: race?  Yes.  Indeed.  Here's the crux of the column:
 

There is only one reason the polls could be this wrong. There is only one reason a contest that is not even close, that is somewhere between clobbered and landslide, could wind up with the other guy on top. Every pollster in America is not incompetent. Every pollster in America is not failing in precisely the same way when it comes to pulling a sample, screening for voters and assigning weights to the various groups.

The only way all these polls could be that far off is if people are lying in numbers never before seen in American politics.

Why would they do that?

You tell me it has nothing to do with race. I'll laugh. What else could it possibly be?

Talk about a blind spot!  Susan, come on!  You tell me it has nothing to do with media bias and control of information.  I'll laugh. 
 
You are just another victim of Obama's Emperor's New Clothes - oops, No Clothes - media strategy, and you fell for it.  I don't blame you for being outraged.  You should be.  I don't blame you for feeling duped.  You have been.  You've been duped by your party, more than once.  I have to hand it to you, though - you're loyal.  Hey, maybe it's time to take a good hard look at what is going on around you.  Obama is not a black candidate, in the true sense of what most Americans would consider a black candidate.  He is a bi-racial candidate; he is part Kenyan and part Caucasian.  This election is NOT a referendum on race relations in America.  It is, as so many Democrat pundits have repeated time and time again, a referendum on the economy, on national security, and judgment.  That's all.  Anything else, Ms. Estrich, is a shameless attempt to ignite racial hatred and throw it after the class warfare your party has already done its best to invent and use to play upon the base fears of the most vulnerable among us.
 
One question:  Ms. Estrich, which party has made the most mention of race in the presidential election campaign?  Thank you for playing.
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Banish the Poll Doldrums!

   Are you allowing the constant poll results - this one, that one, this state, that state - to give you the blues?  Banish those doldrums, forthwith!  As do most of you, I listen to talk radio, and watch many different news outlets (even the ones that I dislike), and if I've heard it once, I've it heard it a dozen times:  "What can McCain DO to turn this around?!"  Oh, the desperation...and to prove the need for a new strategy, more poll results are trotted out.
   I say, challenge the premise.  What if (IF!) the polls are, simply, wrong?  How often are we privy to the actual poll samples, or the actual poll questions?  Better yet, here's something I've always been curious about:  who, reading this right now, has ever been contacted by one of the major pollsters?  I have not.
   If you challenge the premise, and entertain or even accept that the poll results are incorrect, then you can see more clearly what is happening in the campaigns.  Believe what you see and hear and trust your gut.  Are we actually to believe that this is an election where age and accent are up against record and relationships?  Really?  Do not fall into the MSM trap and do not let the Obama campaign convince you that what you know is true is somehow false.  This is an election between two candidates, McCain and Palin, who have actual, real-life records that you can actually research, of reform and incorruptability - and two candidates, Obama and Biden, who have actual, real-life records that you can actually research, of extreme liberal policies and shady relationships. 
   If you have the blues, and the polls are giving you the doldrums - is it feeling familiar?  Does it feel like 2004?  How did that turn out?  Let's believe in our fellow Americans, and remind each other to focus on the real issues in this election.  When you hear the Obama campaign surrogates spinning about McCain's age, Palin's accent, and things like that, take a mental note:  they are desperate; not us.
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